3 Minutes to Clarity: The No-Nonsense Guide to Our Planning Predictor
- Feb 18
- 5 min read
Planning permission in England is a minefield. One day you're sketching dream extensions on napkins, the next you're drowning in council portals and conflicting advice from forums.
Most property owners in London and Surrey share the same headache: they don't know if their project even needs planning permission, let alone whether it stands a chance of approval. That uncertainty kills momentum before you've broken ground.
Enter the Shorplans Planning Predictor. It's a free tool that answers two critical questions in under three minutes: Do you need permission? And if so, what are your odds?
Let's walk through exactly how it works.
Step 1: Select Your Project Type
The tool covers a surprisingly wide range of projects. We're talking everything from a modest single-storey kitchen extension to a full-scale commercial development.

When you land on the predictor, you'll see a straightforward menu of project types. Pick the one that matches your vision, whether it's a loft conversion, side return extension, or even a new build.
This isn't a one-size-fits-all calculator. Each project type triggers a tailored set of questions designed to capture the specific planning considerations for that build. A dormer loft conversion faces different hurdles than a wraparound extension, and the tool knows that.
The predictor accounts for residential and commercial projects alike. Property developers eyeing mixed-use schemes or office conversions will find it just as useful as homeowners planning a ground-floor extension.
Step 2: Answer the Questions
Here's where the magic happens. The predictor asks you a series of simple questions about your project and property.
These aren't trick questions. You won't need architectural drawings or technical jargon. The tool uses plain English to gather the details it needs: location, property type, project size, proximity to neighbours, conservation area status, and a few other key factors.

Most users complete this step in under two minutes. The questions are direct and often require just a yes/no answer or a quick measurement you can estimate by eye.
Why does this matter? Because planning permission England isn't uniform. What flies in Croydon might get rejected in Richmond. A side extension in a conservation area faces tighter scrutiny than the same build on a standard residential street.
The predictor cross-references your answers against permitted development rights, local planning policies, and common approval patterns. It's pulling from the same knowledge base that architects London use when assessing feasibility for clients.
If you're unsure about a specific answer, the tool offers helpful prompts and examples. You're never left guessing what "principal elevation" or "original dwellinghouse" means.
Step 3: Get Your Results
Within seconds of submitting your answers, the predictor delivers two key outputs: whether you need planning permission and your estimated approval probability.

Let's break that down.
Do You Need Planning Permission?
Many homeowners assume they need permission for everything. That's not true. Permitted development rights in England allow a surprising range of alterations without formal approval: provided you meet specific criteria.
The predictor tells you instantly if your project falls within permitted development. If it does, you can proceed without the cost, time, and uncertainty of a full planning application. That's a game-changer for simple extensions and loft conversions.
If planning permission is required, you'll know upfront. No nasty surprises halfway through design work.
What Are Your Approval Odds?
This is the feature that sets the predictor apart from generic planning advice. The tool generates an approval probability based on your project's characteristics and location.
It considers factors like:
Local council approval rates
Neighbouring objections risk
Design and scale appropriateness
Conservation and heritage constraints
Tree preservation and environmental considerations
You'll see a percentage score that gives you a realistic sense of your project's viability. A 75% approval probability means you're on solid ground. A 30% score suggests major obstacles that need addressing before you invest in architects or structural engineers.
These aren't random numbers. The predictor analyses thousands of real planning decisions to model likely outcomes. It's not a guarantee: nothing short of a formal decision notice is: but it's a far better starting point than guesswork.
Who Should Use This Tool?
The predictor is built for property owners in the 'dreaming' phase. You've got an idea, maybe some inspiration images saved on your phone, but you haven't committed to anything yet.

If you're based in London or Surrey, you already know that planning regulations here are among the strictest in the country. Conservation areas, Article 4 directions, and hyper-local design guidelines make every project a unique challenge.
The predictor helps you separate viable projects from non-starters before you spend a penny on professional fees. That early clarity is invaluable.
It's equally useful for:
Homeowners considering extensions, conversions, or garden rooms
Landlords exploring HMO conversions or property subdivisions
Developers assessing site feasibility for new builds
Commercial property owners planning office fit-outs, change of use, or expansions
If you're thinking about altering, extending, or developing property in England, this tool belongs in your research toolkit.
What Projects Does It Cover?
The breadth of coverage is one of the predictor's strengths. It handles both straightforward residential projects and complex commercial schemes.
On the residential side, expect guidance on:
Single and double-storey rear extensions
Side return and wraparound extensions
Loft conversions (dormer and mansard)
Basement excavations
Garden rooms and outbuildings
Front porches and bay windows
For commercial projects, the tool assesses:
New commercial buildings
Change of use applications
Office extensions and refurbishments
Mixed-use developments
Retail and hospitality conversions
The predictor doesn't replace professional advice for complex projects. What it does is give you a fast, informed starting point so you can make smarter decisions about what comes next.
Why This Matters for Your Project
Planning uncertainty is a project killer. Too many homeowners and developers waste months researching the wrong approaches or investing in designs that never stood a chance of approval.
The Shorplans Planning Predictor cuts through that fog. It gives you the two pieces of information you need most at the start: permission required or not, and realistic approval odds if it is.
That knowledge changes how you approach everything else. You'll know whether to budget for planning fees, how much risk to factor into your timeline, and whether your dream project needs rethinking before you commission architects London.

The tool is free, fast, and requires no technical knowledge. You don't need to understand planning policy or interpret council guidance documents. Just answer the questions honestly, and let the predictor do the heavy lifting.
Once you've got your results, you're in a far stronger position to move forward: whether that means proceeding confidently with a high-probability project or consulting professionals about a trickier scheme.
Ready to Test Your Idea?
Three minutes. That's all it takes to go from uncertainty to clarity.
Head to the Shorplans Planning Predictor and run your project through the tool. You'll get an instant assessment that helps you make informed decisions from day one.
If you need deeper guidance after reviewing your results, our team of architects in London and Surrey specialises in navigating complex planning scenarios. We've helped hundreds of property owners turn ambitious ideas into approved projects.
But start with the predictor. It's the fastest way to understand what you're dealing with: and whether your dream project is closer than you think.
.png)

_edited.png)

